
MAAC
WELCOME TO THE METRO. MIND THE STAGS.
Fairfield has one season left before leaving for the CAA and enough size to take the first Metro trophy with it. Quinnipiac can rewrite the race if Asim Jones gets his fifth year, while Joe Gallo's shape-shifting zone keeps Merrimack miserable to play.

The cover line
Merrimack is rebuilding the league's nastiest defense, Siena is replacing nearly an entire championship lineup, and Quinnipiac and Iona bring very different answers to the race behind Fairfield.
Projected champion
Fairfield
The team to beat on our official board
Dark horse
Manhattan
The team most likely to break the bracket
Projected NCAA bids
1
A deep one-bid race with several teams capable of making a first-round favorite uncomfortable.
Chaos rating
84 / 100
How likely the board is to get weird
The quick read
Conference superlatives
The opening tip
ALL TRACKS LEAD TO ATLANTIC CITY
Nothing comes easy in the Metro. Fairfield wins with size, Merrimack's tandem zone scrambles the floor, and Saint Peter's drags games into traffic, so the best guards spend the winter solving a different problem every night.
Welcome to Metro basketball, where the new name arrives with two enormous loose ends. Fairfield is leaving for the CAA after this season, and Quinnipiac is waiting to learn whether Asim Jones will be allowed to come back. Either story could decide who cuts down the nets in Atlantic City. Fairfield has the cleanest foundation. Declan Wucherpfennig averaged 12.1 points and 8.5 rebounds as a freshman, and Qadir Martin arrives from Mercyhurst after posting 11.6 points, 7.0 rebounds and an NEC-best 2.4 blocks. That pairing can own the glass and erase mistakes around the rim. The reconstruction is split across two parts of the roster. Braden Sparks and Deuce Turner take 25.6 points and 137 made threes out of the backcourt. Brandon Benjamin was a 6-foot-8 forward, and losing his 14.2 points, league-leading 10.4 rebounds and 1.6 blocks removes a second interior star. Eric Mejia, Tony Williams and the freshman guards must replace Sparks's creation, while Martin, Marko Radunovic and Isaac Munkadi help Wucherpfennig absorb Benjamin's work up front. Then there is Asim Jones, the Metro's most consequential maybe. Jones announced in early August that he would return after a court ruling opened a fifth season to players who started college in 2022. An appeals court later paused that order, and Quinnipiac has not yet added him to its published roster. Everyone in the league is waiting. Jones averaged 12.5 points and 3.9 assists, buried 46.4 percent of his threes and scored 30 against Manhattan. Put him back in Tom Pecora's lineup and the Bobcats get the league's best proven point guard, the organizer for a rebuilt perimeter and our Player of the Year favorite. Lucas Sekasi and Tayeshawn Cunningham-Pemberton become secondary creators instead of emergency replacements. If the door closes again, they inherit the hardest job in the conference and Keith McKnight has to become the hub of the offense. Merrimack remains the team nobody enjoys preparing for, but Tye Dorset's torn ACL changes the scale of the problem in North Andover. The injury came in the Metro championship game and will keep the Warriors' best returning guard out all season, stripping 11.7 points, 2.2 assists and 1.8 steals from a roster that had already lost Kevair Kennedy and Ernest Shelton. Todd Brogna is now the essential holdover, the passer and defensive organizer who can keep Joe Gallo's hybrid intact while Jeremiah Anderson, Denver Anglin and AJ Lesburt build a new perimeter hierarchy around him. Eli Wilborn gives them a finisher and another rebounder, but the burden has shifted. The system will still steal possessions. Merrimack's season now depends on whether a new guard group can turn that disruption into dependable offense and whether the frontcourt can finish possessions on the glass. Fifth feels more honest than first, even for a program nobody will want to draw in Atlantic City. Iona brings the cleanest shooting plan. Kevon Vanderhorst can organize lineups with Luke Jungers and Martin Kheil around several different centers, giving Dan Geriot room to hunt favorable matchups. Siena, the defending tournament champion, is almost starting over under Nevada Smith, with Tan Yildizoglu, Pace Prosser and an international freshman class carrying the transition. Manhattan added two huge junior-college producers in Anthony Pacciarelli and Isaac Johnson. Marist kept its defensive compass in Jadin Collins-Roberts and found scoring at several levels. Saint Peter's still wants every game played in traffic, while Mount St. Mary's, Sacred Heart and Niagara each have enough length to ambush a favorite. The first Metro season will not wait for the legal picture or new roles to become tidy. Fairfield has the strongest certainty. Quinnipiac owns the biggest possible upgrade. Merrimack guarantees that nobody gets to play a normal game. Atlantic City will reward the team that settles its unanswered questions before March forces the issue.
The defining storylineFairfield is leaving. The rest of the Metro would love to send the Stags out empty-handed, and an eligible Asim Jones gives Quinnipiac the best chance.
Official projection + model comparison
The big board
See how every team stacks up through projected records, finish ranges, and the model’s view of the race.
Ranking machine · comparison at a glance
Editorial board vs. model
Teams are ordered by the official Shooty Hoops editorial rank.
- 1FairfieldThe Metro's deepest frontcourt gives Fairfield a championship floor, but replacing Sparks's 17.2 points and 96 threes leaves the late-clock offense unresolved.Conf / overall14-6 / 21-10TierFavoriteCeiling / floor1–41 spot higher than published model · #21Official rankFairfieldThe Metro's deepest frontcourt gives Fairfield a championship floor, but replacing Sparks's 17.2 points and 96 threes leaves the late-clock offense unresolved.1 spot higher than published model · #2Conf / overall14-6 / 21-10TierFavoriteRange1–4
- 2QuinnipiacA deep, physical No. 2 with more ways to win than most of the Metro and one major job still open at closing time.Conf / overall13-7 / 20-11TierContenderCeiling / floor1–51 spot higher than published model · #32Official rankQuinnipiacA deep, physical No. 2 with more ways to win than most of the Metro and one major job still open at closing time.1 spot higher than published model · #3Conf / overall13-7 / 20-11TierContenderRange1–5
- 3IonaIona rebuilt last year's veteran-heavy offense around more size and shooting, leaving Kevon Vanderhorst to turn intriguing lineup variety into dependable creation.Conf / overall12-8 / 18-13TierContenderCeiling / floor2–71 spot higher than published model · #43Official rankIonaIona rebuilt last year's veteran-heavy offense around more size and shooting, leaving Kevon Vanderhorst to turn intriguing lineup variety into dependable creation.1 spot higher than published model · #4Conf / overall12-8 / 18-13TierContenderRange2–7
- 4ManhattanManhattan replaced six departed scorers with a fascinating mix of Division I shooting, prolific junior-college production and switchable size, making fifth plausible but volatile.Conf / overall11-9 / 17-14TierDangerous MiddleCeiling / floor3–102 spots higher than published model · #64Official rankManhattanManhattan replaced six departed scorers with a fascinating mix of Division I shooting, prolific junior-college production and switchable size, making fifth plausible but volatile.2 spots higher than published model · #6Conf / overall11-9 / 17-14TierDangerous MiddleRange3–10
- 5MerrimackBrogna keeps Gallo's hybrid intact, but a newly assembled backcourt must generate enough clean offense to keep Merrimack in the top half.Conf / overall11-9 / 17-14TierDangerous MiddleCeiling / floor2–84 spots lower than published model · #15Official rankMerrimackBrogna keeps Gallo's hybrid intact, but a newly assembled backcourt must generate enough clean offense to keep Merrimack in the top half.4 spots lower than published model · #1Conf / overall11-9 / 17-14TierDangerous MiddleRange2–8
- 6SienaThe defending tournament champion starts over with a new coach, two veteran point guards and an unusually international freshman class carrying the frontcourt.Conf / overall10-10 / 16-15TierDangerous MiddleCeiling / floor3–114 spots higher than published model · #106Official rankSienaThe defending tournament champion starts over with a new coach, two veteran point guards and an unusually international freshman class carrying the frontcourt.4 spots higher than published model · #10Conf / overall10-10 / 16-15TierDangerous MiddleRange3–11
- 7MaristJohn Dunne still has his defensive quarterback, then added three proven scorers from three different levels to replace nearly 37 points per game.Conf / overall10-10 / 15-16TierDangerous MiddleCeiling / floor4–102 spots lower than published model · #57Official rankMaristJohn Dunne still has his defensive quarterback, then added three proven scorers from three different levels to replace nearly 37 points per game.2 spots lower than published model · #5Conf / overall10-10 / 15-16TierDangerous MiddleRange4–10
- 8St Peter'sBashir Mason still has his lead guard and pressure blueprint, while four very different bigs give the Peacocks more interior options than certainty.Conf / overall9-11 / 14-17TierDangerous MiddleCeiling / floor5–11Boards agree · #88Official rankSt Peter'sBashir Mason still has his lead guard and pressure blueprint, while four very different bigs give the Peacocks more interior options than certainty.Boards agree · #8Conf / overall9-11 / 14-17TierDangerous MiddleRange5–11
- 9Mt St. Mary'sRedd Thompson gives the Mount a real lead guard, but replacing Luke McEldon's paint production will decide whether this long, switchable roster climbs.Conf / overall8-12 / 13-18TierDangerous MiddleCeiling / floor5–12Boards agree · #99Official rankMt St. Mary'sRedd Thompson gives the Mount a real lead guard, but replacing Luke McEldon's paint production will decide whether this long, switchable roster climbs.Boards agree · #9Conf / overall8-12 / 13-18TierDangerous MiddleRange5–12
- 10Sacred HeartSacred Heart has enough size and ballhandling to build a functional team; finding a closer after losing its five leading scorers is the season.Conf / overall7-13 / 12-19TierLong ShotCeiling / floor6–133 spots lower than published model · #710Official rankSacred HeartSacred Heart has enough size and ballhandling to build a functional team; finding a closer after losing its five leading scorers is the season.3 spots lower than published model · #7Conf / overall7-13 / 12-19TierLong ShotRange6–13
- 11NiagaraNiagara pairs a seasoned three-guard rotation with two internationally tested forwards, giving the Purple Eagles more maturity inside than the depth chart first suggests.Conf / overall6-14 / 11-20TierLong ShotCeiling / floor7–13Boards agree · #1111Official rankNiagaraNiagara pairs a seasoned three-guard rotation with two internationally tested forwards, giving the Purple Eagles more maturity inside than the depth chart first suggests.Boards agree · #11Conf / overall6-14 / 11-20TierLong ShotRange7–13
- 12RiderMark Butler can organize Rider immediately, but a completely new supporting cast must supply shooting and rim protection that his Lafayette teams never asked him to create.Conf / overall5-15 / 10-21TierLong ShotCeiling / floor8–13Boards agree · #1212Official rankRiderMark Butler can organize Rider immediately, but a completely new supporting cast must supply shooting and rim protection that his Lafayette teams never asked him to create.Boards agree · #12Conf / overall5-15 / 10-21TierLong ShotRange8–13
- 13CanisiusVinny Sigona restores badly needed shooting, and a healthy Nate Fouts gives Jim Christian a playmaking forward who can make the entire rebuild fit.Conf / overall4-16 / 8-23TierLong ShotCeiling / floor9–13Boards agree · #1313Official rankCanisiusVinny Sigona restores badly needed shooting, and a healthy Nate Fouts gives Jim Christian a playmaking forward who can make the entire rebuild fit.Boards agree · #13Conf / overall4-16 / 8-23TierLong ShotRange9–13
The interactive scouting room
Team-by-team preview
Move across the conference one program at a time. Open projected rotations, meet the players, and inspect the identity and postseason case behind every ranking.
2026-27 team preview · official rank 1
Fairfield
Conference
14-6
Overall
21-10
Finish window
1–4
Confidence
76%
Official order · choose a team file
Projected rotation · Published roster depth chart
10 of 10 primary spots filled
Five on the floor
The All-Conference court
Explore all three projected teams. Select a player for the spotlight, then choose Open Player Card for their full profile.
The basket is on the upper baseline. Guards are positioned around the lower three-point perimeter, while forwards and centers are positioned in the upper lane and around the rim.
The hardware
The awards race
Browse every projected award race. See the current favorite, the strongest challengers, and the case for each pick.
The projected podium
Player of the Year
Why this pick leads
Asim Jones is the league's best proven creator if cleared, Declan Wucherpfennig owns the strongest scoring-rebounding platform, and Kevon Vanderhorst enters the race if he organizes Iona into the league's best team.
How strongly the current projection favors this pick. These are not betting odds.
Beyond the main ballot
The extra pages
Meet the players outside our All-Conference and award picks who could still shape the race, then explore breakout candidates and bold predictions.
Five players who can move the order
Race Shapers
These non-ballot players own specific roles that can alter the Metro race.

Redd Thompson Jr.
Mt St. Mary'sG · JrMount St. Mary's
Redd at the Controls
Redd Thompson Jr. scored 10.3 points in a reserve role at Longwood; if that production scales with lead-guard minutes, Mount can outrun its ninth-place projection.
76% confident
Luke Jungers
IonaF · GrIona
Jungers Stretches the Race
Luke Jungers made 43.9 percent of 98 threes. His gravity can keep the lane open for Iona's rebuilt backcourt.
73% confident
Shaedon Simpson
St Peter'sF · R-JrSaint Peter's
Simpson Finds the Opening
Shaedon Simpson's 33.3-percent three-point mark gives him a credible path into a lineup that needs wing shooting.
72% confident
Jo Van Buggenhout
Sacred HeartG · SrSacred Heart
Van Buggenhout Sets the Table
Jo Van Buggenhout averaged 3.1 assists in limited Indiana State minutes and can stabilize a roster that lost its top five creators.
68% confident
Vinny Sigona
CanisiusG · SrCanisius
Sigona Changes the Math
Vinny Sigona shot 40.1 percent from three on 157 attempts; that volume can make Canisius far more competitive offensively.
67% confident
Five growth bets
Breakout Team
The Breakout Five
Each selection pairs a credible prior baseline with a clear route to more impact.

Tony Williams
FairfieldG · SoFairfield
Tony Williams Takes the Keys
After starting 23 games as a freshman, Williams can turn a 6.5-point baseline into featured creation beside Eric Mejia.
79% confident
Tai Turnage
QuinnipiacG · SoQuinnipiac
Turnage Speeds the Second Unit
Tai Turnage averaged 2.1 assists in 12.6 minutes; more pace and on-ball time could make him a high-leverage reserve.
77% confident
Myles Parker
MaristF · SoMarist
Parker Earns More Run
Myles Parker shot 38.5 percent from three and posted 5.1 points in 14.5 minutes, a strong foundation for a larger two-way role.
75% confident
Logan Woods
NiagaraG · R-SrNiagara
Woods Adds a Second Handle
Logan Woods gives Niagara another ball-handler beside Trenton Walters, reducing the pressure on one small guard to organize every possession.
69% confident
Yakhya Diop
Mt St. Mary'sC · SoMount St. Mary's
Diop Protects More Minutes
Yakhya Diop blocked 0.6 shots in only 8.8 minutes per game; a bigger role could turn that rate into meaningful rim protection.
70% confident
Three testable calls
Bold Predictions
Calling the Bounce
Decisive outcomes with enough evidence to be plausible and enough risk to be bold.
Gaels to the top
Iona Wins the Metro's First Race
Kevon Vanderhorst gives Iona the organizer its new roster needs, while Martin Kheil and Luke Jungers stretch the floor around a deep, flexible frontcourt. The third-ranked Gaels pass Fairfield and Quinnipiac to win the first Metro regular-season title.
Confidence · 46%
One last ride
Fairfield Takes the Metro Trophy to the CAA
Iona takes the regular-season crown, but Fairfield's size travels in March. Declan Wucherpfennig and Qadir Martin control the glass for three straight nights, and the Stags beat the Gaels in the final before carrying the first Metro trophy and its NCAA bid to the CAA.
Confidence · 56%
Championship hangover
Siena's Title Defense Ends Before the Semifinals
The defending champion is replacing its coach, its postseason stars and most of its rotation. Siena improves as the season goes, but the rebuild ends before the tournament's final weekend.
Confidence · 54%
Your turn on the record
Build your conference ballot
Make every call yourself, save your unfinished ballot on this device, and see where your picks agree with Shooty Hoops or go their own way.
Build your own board
Rank the league, draw your tiers, name fifteen All-Conference players, and hand out the hardware. Your draft stays on this device until you choose to publish it. You can return to the same link to edit and resubmit later.
Checking for a local draft
The crowd's ballot
Community consensus
See where completed fan ballots agree, where opinions split, and how the community compares with Shooty Hoops and your own picks.
Counting the room
Building the current community board…












