
SoCon
FIRST FLIGHT, FIRST PLACE?
Tennessee Tech enters its first SoCon season under Tobin Anderson with enough veteran scoring to lead our ballot. Chattanooga rebuilt with shooting, ETSU kept a defensive core and Furman knows what it takes to steal Asheville from the sixth seed.

The cover line
VMI reunites TJ Johnson with Rickey Bradley, Western Carolina can build around Samuel Dada's rebounding, and Mercer has a path through defense. The contenders behind the top four give this race far more depth than the headline suggests.
Projected champion
Tennessee Tech
The team to beat on our official board
Dark horse
VMI
The team most likely to break the bracket
Projected NCAA bids
1
A deep one-bid race with enough veteran shot-making to threaten a favored NCAA opponent.
Chaos rating
82 / 100
How likely the board is to get weird
The quick read
Conference superlatives
The opening tip
THE GOLDEN EAGLE HAS LANDED
Chattanooga can pull a big man to the arc, ETSU can crowd the paint, Furman will cut behind a ball watcher, and Tennessee Tech can cycle through veteran guards. Nobody gets to prepare for the same game twice.
Tennessee Tech’s first SoCon season begins with an audacious assignment: win the thing. The Golden Eagles finished 13–18, went 8–12 in their final OVC season and missed that league’s tournament. Then they changed conferences, hired Tobin Anderson and rebuilt nearly the entire rotation. Trent Mosquera arrives from Le Moyne after averaging 13.5 points and 5.8 rebounds. Davante Hackett scored 13.6 per game at Stonehill, and Ty Owens returns after handing out 3.7 assists. Owens can organize the first action, then Mosquera and Hackett can take over when a possession gets messy. That makeover is why the SoCon’s newest member starts first on our ballot. The biggest caveat sits in the frontcourt. De’Ante Green missed all of last season while recovering from an Achilles injury. At 6-foot-9, he could be Tennessee Tech’s best source of interior scoring and defensive rebounding. A healthy Green lets Anderson surround one mobile big with waves of experienced guards. If he needs time, the league’s stronger frontcourts will know exactly where to press. Chattanooga offers the most dangerous contrast. Tate Darner made 53 threes as a freshman, Matt Hampton averaged 16.9 points and 5.3 assists in junior college, and Tre Powell scored 19.4 per game while shooting 41.5 percent from three at the Division II level. Tyler Houser was supposed to stretch the floor from the frontcourt, but he is expected to miss the season. That leaves Pepperdine transfer Yonatan Levy and returning big Sean Cusano responsible for the screening, passing and rebounding that keep those guards in space. Jordan Frison’s departure still removes a proven closer. Dan Earl now has a deeper audition for that job and enough perimeter creation to force every defense into uncomfortable choices. Last season’s two trophy winners make a tidy order impossible to trust. ETSU won the regular season outright at 13–5, then sixth seeded Furman beat the Bucs 76–61 in the championship game. Brooks Savage and Bob Richey do not have to teach their programs from scratch, although both lost the players who owned the biggest possessions. Maki Johnson and Jordan McCullum survived the roster churn at ETSU, while BJ Ward and Jayden Cooper inherit most of the work with the ball. Furman imported Jaxson Bell, Luka Toews and former Western Carolina forward Marcus Kell for Richey’s motion offense. The Paladins still have to replace Cooper Bowser’s finishing and rebounding, which may be the hardest single job on either roster. VMI is the team that can wreck the middle of the ballot. TJ Johnson averaged 18.3 points, grabbed 7.2 rebounds and made 110 threes last season. Rickey Bradley received a medical redshirt after missing the year, and his healthy return would restore a 16.3-point creator beside Johnson. Western Carolina has its own upset formula in Samuel Dada’s rebounding, Malachi Brown’s ball handling and Isaiah Manning’s shooting at forward. Mercer can drag opponents into lower possession games with Brady Shoulders and Keelan Steele. None is an easy assignment for a favorite still learning the league. Last March explains why certainty is dangerous here. Furman arrived in Asheville as the sixth seed and left with the trophy. This year’s top team has never played a SoCon game and did not even reach its old league tournament. Anderson’s rebuild is good enough to make first place reasonable. The rest of the league gets an entire winter to make sure first flight does not end there.
The defining storylineTennessee Tech missed last year’s OVC tournament. One offseason later, Tobin Anderson’s rebuilt Golden Eagles enter their new league at No. 1 on our ballot. Can they skip the adjustment period entirely?
Official projection + model comparison
The big board
See how every team stacks up through projected records, finish ranges, and the model’s view of the race.
Ranking machine · comparison at a glance
Editorial board vs. model
Teams are ordered by the official Shooty Hoops editorial rank.
- 1Tennessee TechTobin Anderson brings the SoCon newcomer four proven perimeter creators, but the frontcourt must rebound well enough to support a title run.Conf / overall15-5 / 23-8TierFavoriteCeiling / floor1–4Boards agree · #11Official rankTennessee TechTobin Anderson brings the SoCon newcomer four proven perimeter creators, but the frontcourt must rebound well enough to support a title run.Boards agree · #1Conf / overall15-5 / 23-8TierFavoriteRange1–4
- 2ChattanoogaDarner anchors a rebuilt offense loaded with shooting and downhill creation; Hampton's transition from junior college will shape Chattanooga's title ceiling.Conf / overall14-6 / 22-9TierContenderCeiling / floor1–61 spot higher than published model · #32Official rankChattanoogaDarner anchors a rebuilt offense loaded with shooting and downhill creation; Hampton's transition from junior college will shape Chattanooga's title ceiling.1 spot higher than published model · #3Conf / overall14-6 / 22-9TierContenderRange1–6
- 3ETSUThe defending regular-season champion kept its defensive habits, then asked Ward, Cooper and Hennig to replace an entire late-game scoring hierarchy.Conf / overall13-7 / 21-10TierContenderCeiling / floor1–61 spot lower than published model · #23Official rankETSUThe defending regular-season champion kept its defensive habits, then asked Ward, Cooper and Hennig to replace an entire late-game scoring hierarchy.1 spot lower than published model · #2Conf / overall13-7 / 21-10TierContenderRange1–6
- 4FurmanBell, Toews and Kell replenish Furman's skilled motion attack, while replacing Cooper Bowser and Johnston on the glass remains the championship question.Conf / overall12-8 / 20-11TierContenderCeiling / floor1–82 spots higher than published model · #64Official rankFurmanBell, Toews and Kell replenish Furman's skilled motion attack, while replacing Cooper Bowser and Johnston on the glass remains the championship question.2 spots higher than published model · #6Conf / overall12-8 / 20-11TierContenderRange1–8
- 5Western Caro.Dada can keep Western Carolina dominant on the glass; Brown and a rebuilt perimeter decide whether those extra possessions produce a top-four finish.Conf / overall11-9 / 19-12TierDangerous MiddleCeiling / floor2–9Boards agree · #55Official rankWestern Caro.Dada can keep Western Carolina dominant on the glass; Brown and a rebuilt perimeter decide whether those extra possessions produce a top-four finish.Boards agree · #5Conf / overall11-9 / 19-12TierDangerous MiddleRange2–9
- 6VMIBradley rejoins Johnson to form an explosive veteran scoring pair, while a much larger but untested frontcourt sets VMI's ceiling.Conf / overall10-10 / 17-14TierDangerous MiddleCeiling / floor2–102 spots lower than published model · #46Official rankVMIBradley rejoins Johnson to form an explosive veteran scoring pair, while a much larger but untested frontcourt sets VMI's ceiling.2 spots lower than published model · #4Conf / overall10-10 / 17-14TierDangerous MiddleRange2–10
- 7MercerRidder replaced one superstar creator with a wave of attacking guards, betting pace and pressure can preserve the SoCon's highest-scoring offense.Conf / overall9-11 / 16-15TierDangerous MiddleCeiling / floor3–10Boards agree · #77Official rankMercerRidder replaced one superstar creator with a wave of attacking guards, betting pace and pressure can preserve the SoCon's highest-scoring offense.Boards agree · #7Conf / overall9-11 / 16-15TierDangerous MiddleRange3–10
- 8WoffordDaniels, Lowe and Ramsey remake the spine of a roster that looked headed for a total reset, giving eighth-place Wofford genuine dark-horse upside.Conf / overall7-13 / 14-17TierDangerous MiddleCeiling / floor4–11Boards agree · #88Official rankWoffordDaniels, Lowe and Ramsey remake the spine of a roster that looked headed for a total reset, giving eighth-place Wofford genuine dark-horse upside.Boards agree · #8Conf / overall7-13 / 14-17TierDangerous MiddleRange4–11
- 9SamfordNorris gives Samford a proven shooter, but replacing Booth's creation and Faulkner's interior control leaves the Bulldogs rebuilding both ends at once.Conf / overall6-14 / 13-18TierLong ShotCeiling / floor5–11Boards agree · #99Official rankSamfordNorris gives Samford a proven shooter, but replacing Booth's creation and Faulkner's interior control leaves the Bulldogs rebuilding both ends at once.Boards agree · #9Conf / overall6-14 / 13-18TierLong ShotRange5–11
- 10The CitadelBanks can give The Citadel a closer and Bethea can give it a rim protector; both must translate larger roles for the Bulldogs to climb.Conf / overall5-15 / 11-20TierLong ShotCeiling / floor7–11Boards agree · #1010Official rankThe CitadelBanks can give The Citadel a closer and Bethea can give it a rim protector; both must translate larger roles for the Bulldogs to climb.Boards agree · #10Conf / overall5-15 / 11-20TierLong ShotRange7–11
- 11UNCGMishak and Neal give Haase two very different creators; the unanswered question is who owns the paint after Neely's departure.Conf / overall3-17 / 9-22TierLong ShotCeiling / floor7–11Boards agree · #1111Official rankUNCGMishak and Neal give Haase two very different creators; the unanswered question is who owns the paint after Neely's departure.Boards agree · #11Conf / overall3-17 / 9-22TierLong ShotRange7–11
The interactive scouting room
Team-by-team preview
Move across the conference one program at a time. Open projected rotations, meet the players, and inspect the identity and postseason case behind every ranking.
2026-27 team preview · official rank 1
Tennessee Tech
Conference
15-5
Overall
23-8
Finish window
1–4
Confidence
79%
Official order · choose a team file
Projected rotation · Published roster depth chart
10 of 10 primary spots filled
Five on the floor
The All-Conference court
Explore all three projected teams. Select a player for the spotlight, then choose Open Player Card for their full profile.
The basket is on the upper baseline. Guards are positioned around the lower three-point perimeter, while forwards and centers are positioned in the upper lane and around the rim.
The hardware
The awards race
Browse every projected award race. See the current favorite, the strongest challengers, and the case for each pick.
The projected podium
Player of the Year
Why this pick leads
Johnson remains the safest star bet after averaging 18.3 points and 7.2 rebounds while making 110 threes against defenses built to stop him. Mosquera brings first-place team context and a complete wing game. Kell's scoring, rebounding and familiarity with the league give Furman a proven centerpiece for its motion offense.
How strongly the current projection favors this pick. These are not betting odds.
Beyond the main ballot
The extra pages
Meet the players outside our All-Conference and award picks who could still shape the race, then explore breakout candidates and bold predictions.
Five players who can reorder the race
Race Shapers
The Possessions Between the Stars
These players sit outside the projected honor teams and ballots, but each controls a tactical pressure point that can move multiple places in the standings.

Ty Owens
Tennessee TechG · SrTempo keeper
Ty Owens Controls the Favorite
Owens averaged 3.7 assists at Tennessee Tech and gives a transfer-heavy starting group a familiar organizer; cleaner late-clock decisions would make first place much easier to sustain.
77% confident
Matt Hampton
ChattanoogaG · SOBackcourt accelerator
Matt Hampton Raises Chattanooga's Ceiling
Hampton averaged 16.9 points and 5.3 assists at Columbia State. Chattanooga already has shooting; if his junior college ball-screen game translates, he supplies the paint touches and passing that can turn a contender into the champion.
69% confident
Cole Bowser
FurmanG · SoWing stopper
Cole Bowser Takes the Hard Matchup
Furman's reworked front line needs Bowser to defend bigger wings and rebound from the perimeter so Richey can keep four skilled players around one big.
66% confident
Brian Sumpter
WoffordF · SoInterior answer
Brian Sumpter Owns the Paint
Sumpter shot 59.9 percent and blocked 1.3 shots per game as a freshman. More minutes could stabilize a Wofford roster that lost its three leading guards.
71% confident
Isaiah Manning
Western Caro.F · JrMismatch forward
Isaiah Manning Stretches the Chase Pack
Manning averaged 10.7 points in limited games at Sam Houston and can drag opposing bigs away from Dada, opening Western Carolina's driving lanes.
70% confident
Five credible leaps
Breakout Team
More Role, More Game
Each selection owns a verified production baseline and a specific route to a larger 2026-27 role.

Tate Darner
ChattanoogaG · SoExpanded creator
Tate Darner Adds the Dribble
Darner already shot 37.9 percent from three; the breakout comes if he converts that gravity into more ball-screen assists and free throws.
79% confident
Samuel Dada
Western Caro.F · SoStarter minutes
Samuel Dada Scales Up
Dada averaged 7.6 rebounds in 20.3 minutes and finished 69.0 percent of his shots. Maintaining that efficiency over 28 minutes would change Western Carolina's defense.
75% confident
Maki Johnson
ETSUG · SrShot-volume jump
Maki Johnson Finds More Threes
Johnson made 47 threes at a 36.4-percent rate despite starting once. A permanent first-unit role should multiply his movement-shooting opportunities.
73% confident
Chace Watley
WoffordG · SoBigger assignment
Chace Watley Becomes the Engine
Watley's 9.7-point freshman season supplies a real baseline. Better pull-up accuracy would turn his new usage into efficient offense rather than empty volume.
68% confident
Brady Shoulders
MercerG · JrTwo-way wing
Brady Shoulders Adds Creation
Shoulders already rebounds and forces turnovers at an elite level for a wing. Mercer needs the next step to be reliable half-court scoring.
67% confident
Three calls with consequences
Bold Predictions
Put It on the Board
A split championship, a star-powered climb and an eighth-place team playing for the bid. These are the SoCon calls most likely to make us look brilliant or ridiculous.
Asheville redemption
ETSU Takes Asheville
Tennessee Tech wins the regular-season crown, but ETSU takes Asheville. Maki Johnson and BJ Ward give Brooks Savage an experienced backcourt, Jayden Cooper can attack gaps without monopolizing the ball, and Jordan McCullum brings a dependable interior finisher. After last year's 13–5 league title ended one win short of the NCAA tournament, the Bucs finish the job.
Confidence · 54%
Star-powered surge
VMI Crashes the Top Four and Johnson Takes the Trophy
Rickey Bradley's return gives TJ Johnson another proven creator and pushes sixth-ranked VMI into the top four. Johnson finishes the climb as SoCon Player of the Year after leading the league's most difficult scoring tandem.
Confidence · 57%
Eighth-place ambush
Wofford Plays for the Bid
Wofford reaches the SoCon championship game from eighth on our board. Cam Lowe supplies the scoring, Jacob Daniels runs the offense and Evan Ramsey steadies the paint as three accomplished Division II transfers turn one week in Asheville upside down.
Confidence · 43%
Your turn on the record
Build your conference ballot
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Build your own board
Rank the league, draw your tiers, name fifteen All-Conference players, and hand out the hardware. Your draft stays on this device until you choose to publish it. You can return to the same link to edit and resubmit later.
Checking for a local draft
The crowd's ballot
Community consensus
See where completed fan ballots agree, where opinions split, and how the community compares with Shooty Hoops and your own picks.
Counting the room
Building the current community board…










