
WCC
West Coast, Wide Open
Gonzaga's 47-year run in the WCC is over, and Saint Mary's begins its first season without Randy Bennett since 2001. The Gaels still lead our ballot, but Seattle's rim protection and San Diego's veteran backcourt make the league's first open race in decades feel genuinely unsettled.

The cover line
LMU can play enormous, Pepperdine has shooting at every position, and Denver brings 20-point scorer Carson Johnson into its WCC debut. Nobody behind the top three looks harmless.
Projected champion
St Mary's
The team to beat on our official board
Dark horse
Pepperdine
The team most likely to break the bracket
Projected NCAA bids
1
Saint Mary's offers the clearest NCAA win potential; a second tournament team needs a strong nonconference showing.
Chaos rating
79 / 100
How likely the board is to get weird
The quick read
Conference superlatives
The opening tip
Do You Believe in Life After Zag?
Saint Mary's wants to squeeze every possession, Seattle dares teams to finish over Will Heimbrodt, and San Diego plans to attack before the defense is set. The new WCC has no single blueprint.
Every WCC season since 1979-80 came with Gonzaga in the room. The Bulldogs collected the trophies, set the standard and made a January game feel national. That ended when Gonzaga joined the Pac-12 in July. Then Randy Bennett left Saint Mary's for Arizona State after 25 seasons, removing the architect of the league's steadiest counterweight. The WCC opens this season without the team that ruled it and without the coach best known for pushing back. The winner will inherit the trophy and have to build its own authority from scratch. Saint Mary's gets the first line on our ballot. Mickey McConnell offers continuity, and Joshua Dent offers control. Dent averaged 13.2 points and 5.6 assists while making 91.8 percent of his free throws. He knows how to put the Gaels into the right possession. McConnell must replace Paulius Murauskas' 18.4 points and 7.6 rebounds, Mikey Lewis' 13.9 points and Andrew McKeever's 9.2 rebounds. Mantas Juzenas made 15 of 31 threes in limited duty and scored 24 on the Australian tour, while Vangelis Zougris averaged 13.8 points and 5.0 rebounds on that trip. Jeremy Dent-Smith could add another experienced guard beside Dent, but his availability hinges on the pending 5-for-5 eligibility ruling. Saint Mary's has enough structure to begin in front, with little room for a slow start from its new frontcourt. Seattle can challenge from the other end of the floor. Will Heimbrodt blocked a school-record 90 shots last season, third most in the country, and won WCC Defensive Player of the Year. Jun Seok Yeo gives him a mobile partner who can score, and Tyler Boston arrives from Holy Cross after averaging 14.2 points, 3.7 rebounds and 3.6 assists. Boston has to steady an offense that lost Brayden Maldonado's scoring and Maleek Arington's 79 steals, while Yeo must punish defenses more efficiently after shooting 29.5 percent from three. The Redhawks have the league's best rim protector and a clear way to make every contender uncomfortable. San Diego has chosen a faster route. New coach JR Blount brought the pressure and paint-attack principles he helped teach at Iowa State, then assembled a backcourt with several players who can start a possession or finish one. Marqui Worthy averaged 16.4 points at UC Riverside, Davion Hill led Ball State at 14.0, and junior college point guard Braylon Roman produced 12.8 points and 4.7 assists while shooting 38.6 percent from three. Jose Roberto Tanchyn can pass and step outside at center, with Terry McMorris and Sekou Konneh supplying activity around him. The Toreros have more ways to create a good shot than they did last season. Rebounding and defending with a small guard rotation will decide whether that talent becomes a title team immediately. LMU and Pepperdine make the middle of the ballot dangerous. The Lions can build enormous lineups around 6-foot-8 Zion Sensley and 6-foot-11 Jevon Porter, with All Wright adding 42.2 percent three-point shooting. Porter missed Missouri's final 21 games with a leg injury, but his healthy return would give LMU a second big playmaker. Pepperdine gave Griff Aldrich 13 newcomers for the pressure, depth and offensive rebounding style he used at Longwood. Petar Majstorovic brings 14.4 points and 6.4 rebounds, while Jahari Williamson arrives after making 44.5 percent of his threes. Santa Clara lost Christian Hammond and NBA first-rounder Allen Graves, while Elijah Mahi appears on the current roster pending a ruling in the 5-for-5 eligibility case. Jake Ensminger's passing, Sash Gavalyugov's late-season surge and Kansas State transfer David Castillo should keep Herb Sendek's offense inventive. The lower half has enough firepower to wreck the order. Pacific returns only 6.4 percent of last season's scoring, yet Jaden Winston and Damarion Vann-Kelly give Dave Smart a rebuilt backcourt with scoring and defensive bite. San Francisco lost its five leading scorers and now has ten freshmen on the roster. Portland's healthier frontcourt includes Timo George and James O'Donnell, and the Pilots showed their upside by upsetting No. 6 Gonzaga last February. Denver joins the league with reigning Summit Player of the Year Carson Johnson, a 20.1-point scorer who made 87 threes, alongside an offense that must defend far better than it did last season. The winner gets more than a banner. It gets first claim on what the WCC will become after Gonzaga. Saint Mary's has the most familiar formula, Seattle owns the strongest defensive anchor, and San Diego brings the most intriguing collection of new guards. Their nonconference results will also determine whether this remains a league with room for multiple NCAA bids. For the first time in nearly half a century, the WCC gets to write the season without knowing which program will have the final word.
The defining storylineThe first WCC title after Gonzaga will carry extra weight. So will the race to prove the league can still earn multiple NCAA bids without its old national standard.
Official projection + model comparison
The big board
See how every team stacks up through projected records, finish ranges, and the model’s view of the race.
Ranking machine · comparison at a glance
Editorial board vs. model
Teams are ordered by the official Shooty Hoops editorial rank.
- 1St Mary'sJoshua Dent gives Mickey McConnell a proven organizer, while a brand-new frontcourt must replace nearly 25 rebounds and keep Saint Mary's atop the league.Conf / overall12-4 / —TierFavoriteCeiling / floor1–41 spot higher than published model · #21Official rankSt Mary'sJoshua Dent gives Mickey McConnell a proven organizer, while a brand-new frontcourt must replace nearly 25 rebounds and keep Saint Mary's atop the league.1 spot higher than published model · #2Conf / overall12-4 / —TierFavoriteRange1–4
- 2Seattle UWill Heimbrodt's 90 blocks let Seattle build from the rim out, and Tyler Boston's transition to lead guard will decide how close the Redhawks get to first.Conf / overall11-5 / —TierContenderCeiling / floor1–51 spot higher than published model · #32Official rankSeattle UWill Heimbrodt's 90 blocks let Seattle build from the rim out, and Tyler Boston's transition to lead guard will decide how close the Redhawks get to first.1 spot higher than published model · #3Conf / overall11-5 / —TierContenderRange1–5
- 3San DiegoJR Blount's 11-player overhaul gives San Diego multiple proven scorers and defensive size, with immediate chemistry separating third place from another middle-tier finish.Conf / overall10-6 / —TierContenderCeiling / floor1–62 spots lower than published model · #13Official rankSan DiegoJR Blount's 11-player overhaul gives San Diego multiple proven scorers and defensive size, with immediate chemistry separating third place from another middle-tier finish.2 spots lower than published model · #1Conf / overall10-6 / —TierContenderRange1–6
- 4LMULMU's oversized transfer group should win plenty of physical matchups, with its unproven point-guard play keeping the Lions just outside the top three.Conf / overall9-7 / —TierContenderCeiling / floor1–71 spot higher than published model · #54Official rankLMULMU's oversized transfer group should win plenty of physical matchups, with its unproven point-guard play keeping the Lions just outside the top three.1 spot higher than published model · #5Conf / overall9-7 / —TierContenderRange1–7
- 5PepperdineGriff Aldrich's rebuilt Waves have enough shooting and frontcourt depth to post a winning WCC record while a new group of ballhandlers settles in.Conf / overall9-7 / —TierContenderCeiling / floor1–81 spot lower than published model · #45Official rankPepperdineGriff Aldrich's rebuilt Waves have enough shooting and frontcourt depth to post a winning WCC record while a new group of ballhandlers settles in.1 spot lower than published model · #4Conf / overall9-7 / —TierContenderRange1–8
- 6Santa ClaraSanta Clara's veteran passers keep Herb Sendek's offense dangerous, while an unproven center rotation pulls the Broncos toward the WCC middle.Conf / overall8-8 / —TierDangerous MiddleCeiling / floor2–8Boards agree · #66Official rankSanta ClaraSanta Clara's veteran passers keep Herb Sendek's offense dangerous, while an unproven center rotation pulls the Broncos toward the WCC middle.Boards agree · #6Conf / overall8-8 / —TierDangerous MiddleRange2–8
- 7PacificDave Smart rebuilt nearly the entire roster around Jaden Winston, and keeping last season's rebounding edge will decide how high the Tigers climb.Conf / overall7-9 / —TierDangerous MiddleCeiling / floor4–9Boards agree · #77Official rankPacificDave Smart rebuilt nearly the entire roster around Jaden Winston, and keeping last season's rebounding edge will decide how high the Tigers climb.Boards agree · #7Conf / overall7-9 / —TierDangerous MiddleRange4–9
- 8San FranTen freshmen and no returning member of last season's top five scorers make Chris Gerlufsen's newest team the WCC's biggest development bet.Conf / overall6-10 / —TierDangerous MiddleCeiling / floor5–102 spots higher than published model · #108Official rankSan FranTen freshmen and no returning member of last season's top five scorers make Chris Gerlufsen's newest team the WCC's biggest development bet.2 spots higher than published model · #10Conf / overall6-10 / —TierDangerous MiddleRange5–10
- 9PortlandPortland can score inside if Riley Parker returns healthy, but last season's 141-make three-point deficit explains the ninth-place projection.Conf / overall5-11 / —TierLong ShotCeiling / floor6–10Boards agree · #99Official rankPortlandPortland can score inside if Riley Parker returns healthy, but last season's 141-make three-point deficit explains the ninth-place projection.Boards agree · #9Conf / overall5-11 / —TierLong ShotRange6–10
- 10DenverCarson Johnson brings 20 points a night into Denver's WCC debut, but a defense that allowed 82.8 points follows him west.Conf / overall3-13 / —TierLong ShotCeiling / floor7–102 spots lower than published model · #810Official rankDenverCarson Johnson brings 20 points a night into Denver's WCC debut, but a defense that allowed 82.8 points follows him west.2 spots lower than published model · #8Conf / overall3-13 / —TierLong ShotRange7–10
The interactive scouting room
Team-by-team preview
Move across the conference one program at a time. Open projected rotations, meet the players, and inspect the identity and postseason case behind every ranking.
2026-27 team preview · official rank 1
Saint Mary's (CA)
Conference
12-4
Overall
—
Finish window
1–4
Confidence
72%
Official order · choose a team file
Projected rotation · Published roster depth chart
10 of 10 primary spots filled
Five on the floor
The All-Conference court
Explore all three projected teams. Select a player for the spotlight, then choose Open Player Card for their full profile.
The basket is on the upper baseline. Guards are positioned around the lower three-point perimeter, while forwards and centers are positioned in the upper lane and around the rim.
The hardware
The awards race
Browse every projected award race. See the current favorite, the strongest challengers, and the case for each pick.
The projected podium
Player of the Year
Why this pick leads
Hill arrives after averaging 14.0 points and 4.4 rebounds at Ball State, and San Diego's open-floor attack gives his downhill game room to grow into the league's most productive perimeter season. Constanza has the highest ceiling on this ballot, but asking a freshman to lead Pepperdine from day one adds risk. Heimbrodt will shape every Seattle game with his defense; winning the overall award likely requires another jump from last season's 12.3 points.
How strongly the current projection favors this pick. These are not betting odds.
Beyond the main ballot
The extra pages
Meet the players outside our All-Conference and award picks who could still shape the race, then explore breakout candidates and bold predictions.
Beyond the ballot
Race Shapers
Five Players Who Change the Matchups
These players sit outside the award podiums and All-Conference teams, but their specific jobs could swing games between contenders.

Jevon Porter
LMUF · GrA different look at center
Porter Changes the Geometry
Jevon Porter's passing can make LMU difficult to trap: he averaged 1.6 assists in limited minutes at Missouri. If he consistently catches above the foul line and finds cutters, opponents cannot simply load two defenders onto the ball.
69% confident
David Castillo
Santa ClaraG · JrPunishing the second rotation
Castillo Makes Help Expensive
David Castillo made 56 threes at Kansas State and started its final 14 games. Santa Clara needs that willingness to shoot immediately after a kickout; hesitation would let defenses recover and squeeze its young centers out of the offense.
73% confident
Ben Oosterbaan
San FranG · R-JrThe possessions between the highlights
Oosterbaan Holds the Dons Together
Ben Oosterbaan started 34 games at St. Thomas, shot 36.8 percent from three and averaged 4.2 rebounds. San Francisco needs those dependable wing possessions while its new point guards learn when to attack and when to move the ball.
72% confident
Jose Roberto Tanchyn
San DiegoF · SrA center who can clear the lane
Tanchyn Draws the Big Man Out
Jose Roberto Tanchyn made 25 threes at 35.7 percent for UMBC. If that shot survives a larger assignment, San Diego can pull opposing centers away from its attacking guards without surrendering a conventional big-man presence.
70% confident
Halvine Dzellat
Seattle UC · JrKeeping the shot blocker free
Dzellat Does the Heavy Lifting
Halvine Dzellat moves from a reserve role at Cincinnati into Seattle's projected starting center spot. His ability to absorb post contact and secure rebounds would let Heimbrodt hunt weak-side blocks instead of wrestling with every opposing center.
64% confident
The next step
Breakout Team
Bigger Roles, Specific Reasons
Each selection has a visible baseline and a practical route to greater influence.

Aleksandar Gavalyugov
Santa ClaraG · R-SoMore decisions, more responsibility
Gavalyugov Takes the Wheel
Aleksandar Gavalyugov's 67 made threes already demand defensive attention. Becoming Santa Clara's starting point guard should turn that attention into more passing chances, with growth measured by productive possessions rather than simply a larger shot total.
77% confident
Jaion Pitt
PacificF · SoFrom finisher to full-time forward
Pitt Earns the Extra Minutes
Jaion Pitt averaged 4.7 points and 3.7 rebounds without starting a game. Pacific can increase his impact through offensive rebounding and baseline cuts before asking him to create off the dribble; sustaining that efficiency against starters is the next test.
74% confident
Mantas Juzenas
St Mary'sF · SoA small sample meets a bigger job
Juzenas Gets the Green Light
Juzenas made 15 of 31 threes in a limited freshman role. A projected starting assignment should produce cleaner catch-and-shoot opportunities beside two capable handlers, but the breakthrough depends on maintaining quick decisions as defenders begin treating him as a priority.
66% confident
A.J. Thomas
LMUG · SoA reserve who can close
Thomas Pushes Into Winning Time
A.J. Thomas averaged 5.2 points and 1.8 assists in 13.5 minutes for LMU. Better control of his driving opportunities could earn closing minutes alongside Wright, especially when the Lions need a second handler to escape pressure.
68% confident
Ismaila Diagne
San FranC · JrTurning short shifts into staying power
Diagne Stays on the Floor
Ismaila Diagne collected 2.4 rebounds in roughly seven minutes per game at Gonzaga. San Francisco offers a much larger center assignment, so the opportunity is clear; avoiding fouls and finishing routine catches must come before extrapolating those short-shift numbers.
63% confident
Calls worth keeping
Bold Predictions
Three Predictions to Revisit in March
Specific outcomes with enough evidence to argue for and enough uncertainty to make them bold.
The defense delivers
Redhawks Run the League
Seattle wins the WCC regular-season title and conference tournament, reaching its first NCAA Tournament since 1969. Will Heimbrodt protects the rim, while Tyler Boston and Jun Seok Yeo provide enough offense to carry that defense through March.
Confidence · 52%
A freshman takes over
Constanza Sweeps the Hardware
Alex Constanza wins both WCC Freshman of the Year and Player of the Year. Pepperdine's 6-foot-8 creator has the size and freedom to become the league's hardest matchup immediately, and his arrival gives Griff Aldrich a star who can accelerate a 13-player rebuild.
Confidence · 37%
Blount's rebuild runs ahead
San Diego Finishes Second and Reaches the Final
JR Blount's first San Diego team finishes second in the regular season and meets Seattle in the WCC championship game. Marqui Worthy, Davion Hill and Braylon Roman give the Toreros several ways to create late in possessions, while Jose Roberto Tanchyn's shooting pulls opposing centers away from the lane.
Confidence · 48%
Your turn on the record
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Checking for a local draft
The crowd's ballot
Community consensus
See where completed fan ballots agree, where opinions split, and how the community compares with Shooty Hoops and your own picks.
Counting the room
Building the current community board…
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